Hi everyone,
even though we have no more than 5 results of our short survey, it is time to continue. I’m sure the next steps will be more fun again. Of course, 5 participants are not a lot. Nevertheless, I hope we will continue our fruitful discussions after the survey now.
First of all, here is how you evaluated the influencing factors:

I originally planned to discuss projections and continue by building a consistency matrix, but the latter would again be pretty dry work and need a higher participation than the last survey to deliver valid results. So, my proposal is that we build consistent scenarios based on the factors above. Thus, your task would be to combine those factors in a most desirable or probable, amongst others, scenario and describe how (positive, negative, or what else) those factors will develop.
Since you probably don’t want to repeat yourself in areas that we have already discussed, I tried to build a short summary of the main factors. Please feel free to add what I might have missed.
Consumer Price SensitivityCurrently the price seems to be the main decision driver, and the price sensitivity is probably staying high. Private investments in storage are not expected before the price drop is lower than the expected earnings over the same time period
Grid StabilityGrid stability is high with a small risk due to demand variation and overproduction. Desirable for the future would be to allow energy export of private PV owners and in case of overproduction, shutdown by smart grid (PV without ill effects)
EV charging infrastructureEVs as possible decentral storage rely on stable infrastructure. Desirable development: The increasing number of EVs loading at night and during work time (and PV peaks) and off peak demand times
Electricity Price Development of the Renewable EnergiesThe prices of PV and On-Shore wind are still falling and around 80£ already profitable and competitive. Tidal energy generation is still in test stage and more expensive but promising. Off- Shore wind energy should be around 100£ around 2020.
Entry Barriers for New REsThe earlier development was predominantly in wind and PV, which have highly competitive prices now. Also the price of basic infrastructure (especially Off-Shore Wind) and the high dependency of location factors negatively influence the development of new REs.
Public Environmental AwarenessAlthough the environmental awareness seems to grow, most people are rather driven by cost calculations. One idea to enhance the environmental awareness was to treat electricity like a luxury good with higher prices for high consumption.
Subsidies for StorageSome political push for domestic storage as decentralizes storage solution would be desirable. Governmental backup is necessary to as long as the fast development decreases storage prices faster than the home storage would save per year.
Subsidies for Renewable EnergiesMassive subsidies for Wind and PV in the past also pushed the development and lowered the price. Since some were badly planned and ended with exploding cost, governmental (funding) projects should be less local but more cooperative and long term oriented.
Summarized, based on the survey and the previous discussed developments, we now want to build future scenarios together. Which future is desirable? Which future is the most probable? Or you can think of some creative or utopian scenarios. I am very much looking forward to discuss your future scenarios together!